Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 0.234925 3.216158e-01 0.423834 0.551153 0.703368 0.877470 1.089564
2025-12-28 0.121980 2.198001e-01 0.356038 0.549705 0.808014 1.131201 1.556257
2026-01-04 0.060863 1.513059e-01 0.301869 0.544479 0.900087 1.378117 2.044140
2026-01-11 0.026399 9.932254e-02 0.248406 0.521226 0.957744 1.582371 2.495264
2026-01-18 0.010297 6.595669e-02 0.208892 0.504934 1.017245 1.790062 2.964194
2026-01-25 0.003765 4.658359e-02 0.185550 0.507429 1.102264 2.038189 3.503361
2026-02-01 0.000770 2.941040e-02 0.155180 0.485823 1.140609 2.215561 3.948456
2026-02-08 0.000153 2.256426e-02 0.148016 0.509113 1.258211 2.522274 4.598168
2026-02-15 0.000003 1.543425e-02 0.133250 0.510207 1.333384 2.763987 5.159644
2026-02-22 NaN 1.308748e-02 0.135211 0.551900 1.489360 3.145992 5.950492
2026-03-01 NaN 1.013782e-02 0.131230 0.576886 1.614006 3.481132 6.680051
2026-03-08 NaN 6.942049e-03 0.121183 0.582255 1.698520 3.751298 7.316164
2026-03-15 NaN 3.996086e-03 0.106359 0.570247 1.747670 3.967214 7.881987
2026-03-22 NaN 2.568571e-03 0.099554 0.580796 1.846160 4.274978 8.606996
2026-03-29 NaN 1.436873e-03 0.090733 0.581597 1.922612 4.546497 9.281623
2026-04-05 NaN 5.518283e-04 0.077271 0.560365 1.945699 4.721365 9.802540
2026-04-12 NaN 1.674869e-04 0.066667 0.544803 1.979232 4.915825 10.360856
2026-04-19 NaN 4.982472e-05 0.061256 0.548258 2.058676 5.199231 11.075837
2026-04-26 NaN 1.705158e-06 0.051255 0.525842 2.070313 5.353109 11.574902
2026-05-03 NaN 7.587686e-08 0.051002 0.550683 2.205491 5.750560 12.499898
2026-05-10 NaN NaN 0.046565 0.551953 2.278689 6.029433 13.227137
2026-05-17 NaN NaN 0.049718 0.596062 2.469720 6.546298 14.376609
2026-05-24 NaN NaN 0.049720 0.622469 2.614590 6.975793 15.382274